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Tuesday 30 July 2013

Real Estate Regulatory Bill

Real Estate Regulatory and Development Bill – Step in right direction, but just 1st hurdle cleared

Union Cabinet of India passes the Real Estate Regulatory and Development Bill which intends to project consumers of house space in the country by implementing best practices. The Bill proposes a regulator in each state / union territory which will address the industry issue and a tribunal for fasten the process of the disputes.

The bill would next be tabled in both the house of Parliament and then to standing committee before it becomes an Act. The Bill has just cleared the first hurdle and may take longer to be implemented at ground level.

Reasons for delay in project completion are addressed, but amending the ‘70% customer advance’ clause will lead to low uniformity

The Bill main intention is consumer protection in real estate space wherein project delay is major area of concern. The Bill addresses this concern by two proposed clauses – 1) the developer cannot launch a project before all approvals in place and 2) 70% & lower Customer advances, as stipulated by the state regulator, would be utilised only for development of project which is monetized. The second point here is been diluted from 70% to 70% & lower and also has given power to decide the share in the hands of state regulator. This amendment has diluted the effect of the point and would lead to higher red tapism in the sector.

The current Bill requires a lot of Clarity and doesn’t address many Loopholes in the proposals

The amended RE Bill has many points which needs clarifications or which has loopholes. Firstly, it doesn’t state that the state regulator will have to follow whose law when it comes to the State Bill and Centre’s Bill are at crossroads. The bill doesn’t provide clear demarcation in definition of a project and its phases as well as common amenities for assigning customer advances lock-in.

The bill implemented in the current form affects marginally to developers; lowering the churn of capital is the only concern

The current form of the Bill is diluted from the draft published in 2012. No pre-launches officially & registration of real estate agent would curb investor money in the sector when combined with 1% TDS clause introduced in Union Budget. But there are means to these issues which may lower the impact of the intent of the Bill. Hence, there would be some impact on the churn of capital as usage of customer advances would be restricted. Also, some cost of the company would increase in getting stipulated approvals from the state regulatory.

Interpretation of Key Clauses which may affect Real Estate Companies Clause Intent Current Practice Impact Clarity / Loophole

Clause:

A Real Estate Regulator in each state who will implement and address set regulations in that particular state

Intent:

To streamline best practices in the industry which is reeling under lot of issues pertaining to consumer

Current Practice
There is no single body who regulates the industry and its growing issues

Impact:

A lot of developers would have to streamline their operations to best of industry practices

Clarity/loophole:

Will the state regulator adhere to state level bill or this bill overwrites it

Clause:

The developer cannot launch the projects till all the approvals are in place and the project is registered with the regulator along with project plan

Intent:

To ensure timely completion of projects by making capital available

Current Practice:

A lot of developers would pre-launch the project and utilise the advance from sale towards getting approvals as well as other means

Impact:

The developer cannot do any pre-launch before getting project approvals and registering the same with the government authority. Hence they will have to deploy capital from other source then customer advances

Clarity/loophole:

The Company can always pre-launch and take advances and show it as short term debt. Later convert the same in customer advances at the time of launch. All the pre launches are done on understanding and trust between the parties

Clause:

Compulsory deposit 70% or lower funds received from allotees in a separate bank account. (The same was changed from 70% in 2012 bill to 70% or Lower in 2013 bill)

Intent:

To ensure timely completion of projects by making capital available

Current Practice:

A lot of projects completions are delayed because the developer utilise the customer advances for other means and assign approvals delayed as the reason.

Impact:

The developer cannot utilise the capital generated from one project, unless it is completed, to finance the capital requirement of other projects. This will lead to lower availability of the liquidity.

Clarity/loophole:

There is missing clarity on the definition of the project, as the industry phases out a single project. Can the developer utilise advances of phase 1 towards approvals of phase 2 and not deliver the common amenities, is not clear.

Clause:

Mandatory registration of real estate agents with the regulator

Intent:

To infuse professionalism in the intermediary role To curb money laundering

Current Practice:

With absence of any regulatory authority, there is no registration. Also, with no registration the agents launder the money through their account for a client.

Impact:

This clause along with TDS clause introduces in Union Budget 2013-14 will lead to curbing the transactions routed through multiple parties.

May curb investors from using RE as a medium for money laundering

Clarity/loophole:

The bill states the role of the agent but fails to address the repercussion of the falsification of information by him / her Also, there is no differentiation between a role of agent or a consumer played by the same person.

Charges for putting out misleading advertisements related to the projects carrying photographs of actual site.

Removed in 2013 Bill.  Was part of 2012 Bill

Written Agreement with the buyer needs to be registered before taking more than 10% of advances

Removed in 2013 Bill. Was part of 2012 Bill


Source: Emkay Research, Housing Ministry 

Thursday 25 July 2013

Healthy Sales Environment in Bangalore

The latest PropEquity data suggests that Bangalore saw monthly absorption of Rs 27.4 bn in January and February 2013, the highest level in over 5 years, up 50% yoy. Residential sales growth has been driven equally by volumes as well as pricing with price increases of 22% yoy and a 23% increase in volumes. Given return of price appreciation in Bangalore, we believe proportion of investors is rising, partly driving volume increases.

We believe price increases in Bangalore are backed by demand

We consider recent price hike in Bangalore well justified since: (1) 3 month average transaction price at Rs. 4,070/sqft is still reasonable especially if we compare to Chennai, which is at Rs. 4,340/sq ft. (2) Last 3-yr and 4-yr pricing. CAGR at 11.5% and 8.8% is reasonable with cumulative increase of 39% and 40% respectively. Residential prices in Bangalore remained steady for three years between CY09-11. (3) We find affordability 15% better than last 10-yr average. Going forward, we believe similar affordability level will remain with price increases equaling impact of lower interest rates/income rise.

Key areas of Bangalore: (1) Sarjapur road: This is one of the most active residential hubs of Bangalore, with current prices around Rs. 5,500/sqft; (2) Jaya Nagar: This is an established luxury location with pricing at Rs. 10,000- 12,000/sqft; (3) Southern suburbs: With pricing at Rs. 4,000-4,500/sqft, its an upcoming hub for IT professionals; (4) Rajaji Nagar/Malleswaram. This is an upcoming luxury location with pricing at Rs. 9,000-10,000/sqft; (5) Hebbal: With wide price range of Rs. 4,500-7,000+/sqft, this location is attractive to many investors due to price points and it being in the direction of the airport.

Take away points of Bangalore market
  • Value growth driven by mix of pricing and Volumes
  • Volume growth remains robust
  • Pricing has increased steadily, still affordable
  • New launches continue to be steady
  • Inventory levels have remained stable

Monday 22 July 2013

Interest rates unlikely to come down in near future

P H Ravikumar has recently taken charge as managing director at Money Matters Financial Services. At a time when the Indian economy is in the throes of a slowdown and credit demand is tepid, NBFCs such as Money Matters has to watch out for delinquencies. However, Ravikumar, who has been a banking and financial sector veteran with over four decades of experience with stints at the Bank of India, ICICI Bank and NCDEX is unfazed. In an interview, Ravikumar says that loan demand from small and medium enterprises (SME) will continue to be strong and the sector is poised for robust growth once economy picks up. Ravikumar talks to Sanjeev Sharma about launching a real estate AMC, Money Matters’ name change and expansion plans for Punjab and Haryana.

Q: How do you see the market for SME portfolio in the current financial year? How has been the demand for loans so far in the current fiscal year?

A: Small and medium enterprises have been the bulwark of both services and industrial sectors. They are the largest exporters, largest providers of employment, but have the least funding from the organised financial sector. While the overall credit growth has been around 15 per cent for the banking sector, the latent demand from small and medium enterprises for funds from the organised sector will be manifold this figure. Even within the SME segment, the small and micro industries have the least support from organised financial sector. At Money Matters, the demand for loans has been strong in the first quarter of fiscal 2014. Our total loan book currently stands at around Rs 475 crore.

Q: How do you see the growth of the SME market in North India, especially Punjab and Haryana?

A: Both these states have been the drivers of the SME growth in the country. We see a steady growth at a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 18 per cent-20 per cent in this sector notwithstanding what is happening in the other parts of the economy currently. As the growth in the economy picks up over the next few years, the SME sector will grow at a compounded annual growth rate of well above 25 per cent. It is exactly for this reason that we are expanding our footprint in these geographies. We plan to open more offices in the two states based on our business growth and need to tap this potential opportunity.

Q: What is your view on interest rates? Do you see room for more rate cuts and by what extent?

A: Current macro trends —food inflation, current account deficit and the consequent pressure on value of rupee vis-à-vis major international currencies — seem to indicate that there is little room for interest rates to come down. The pressure on the operating profit levels of banks, particularly owing to level of stressed assets, also indicates that banks are unlikely to reduce their rates of interest in the near future. Unless there is dramatic improvement in the overall macroeconomic scenario, I do not see perceptible reduction in interest rates in the near future.

Q: What are the new sectors you are looking to tap for lending?

A: Residential home loans, particularly in tier II and tier III cities, revival of SMEs which are facing financial stress and specific structured corporate loans are the major segments where there is a strong latent demand for funds and can be tapped for lending.

Our current growth plans for the current calendar year can be adequately met from our own net funds. We have no borrowings at present. However, towards the end of the calendar year, we would raise funds of about Rs 250 crore to Rs 300 crore.

Q: Recently, Money Matters has entered into a strategic tie up with Capri Capital Partners LLC. (CCPL). Can you share details of this partnership?

A: CCPL is among the top one per cent of the funds - by performance in the US in their segment. They have strong skills in raising resources from various international markets and managing risks in the realty sector. We have strong knowledge of the domestic real estate market. The partnership envisages setting up of a real estate AMC which will manage projects end to end subject to various approvals. The chairperson of CCPL will also be joining the board of our company. We believe their skill sets strengthen our growth in India. Besides, we are in the process of changing our name to Capri Global Capital that will reflect our tie-up. While the Reserve Bank of India nod has come as also the shareholders’ approval, we expect the ROC approval for the name change over next two or three weeks.

Thursday 18 July 2013

MORE THAN 20 MN SQ FT OF OFFICE SPACE ADDED IN THE FIRST HALF OF 2013; SUPPLY INFUSION GROWS BY 16% Y- OY, WHILE ABSORPTION DROPS BY ABOUT 6% Y-O-Y

Growth has been disappointing in FY2012

India’s economic landscape continued to face challenges in the second quarter of 2013. Growth for the complete financial year 2012-13 declined to a decadal low of 5.0%; this despite the fact that growth appreciated during the January-March period to touch 4.8%, compared to 4.7% during the previous three months. While unveiling its monetary review for the year 2013-14, the Central Bank reduced base rates by 25 basis points in May; however, kept the rates unchanged during the quarterly review in June, indicating limited room for policy easing. This has upset investor sentiments as a falling rupee and declining manufacturing growth continue to point towards a broad based slowdown. On the legislative side, the Union Cabinet recently approved the draft Real Estate Regulation and Development Bill, which is a policy measure aimed at bringing transparency in the real estate sector. The legislation, that is yet to be proved by the parliament, seeks to provide a regulatory authority to review construction of residential projects. Other important policy measures taken by the government included reducing the minimum area requirements for special economic zones and providing clarity to the various provisions for foreign investment in the retail sector.

Supply infusion leads to marginal increase in absorption; however, downward pressures remains

Large commercial and SEZ developments were completed in leading markets such as Bangalore, Mumbai, NCR (National Capital Region) and Pune, contributing significantly to the supply infusion of about 11 million sq ft in Q2 2013. Delayed deliveries from the previous quarters, besides new projects coming on-stream, led to an increase of up to 8% q-o-q and about 16% y-o-y in office supply addition across the country. Bangalore led project completions, followed by Mumbai, NCR and Pune, representing about 77% of the entire space completed during the quarter.

Occupier focus continued to be on consolidation and more efficient use of their existing portfolio. Although well positioned assets continued to attract occupier interest, transactions continued to take much longer to conclude. Absorption increased marginally by 7% q-o-q to touch about 7 million sq ft during this quarter; however, downward pressures continued to persist as absorption was down by about 6% when compared to the same period last year. Transaction activity was dominated by NCR, Mumbai, Bangalore, and Pune, representing about 88% of the total transacted space during the quarter.

Supply pressures dictate rental movement

There was a clear segregation of micro-markets in terms of rental behavior across leading cities. Rents were either stable or appreciated marginally in demand driven micro-markets such as Connaught Place, Gurgaon, Bandra Kurla Complex, Lower Parel and Outer Ring Road. Rental sentiments in supply driven micro-markets such as Thane, Navi Mumbai, Powai and Vikhroli were on a downward trajectory.

Outlook

The prospects for the economy do not appear very bright in the coming couple of quarters; rising fiscal deficit and currency devaluation are expected to dampen the overall investment sentiment. The overall mood in the leasing market is also expected to remain cautious. While few large scale transactions for consolidation or relocation of offices might be reported, majority of the demand is expected to be for small and medium sized office space only. Supply levels should continue to exert pressure on rental movement and market recovery in most micro-markets.

Thursday 4 July 2013

Money Matters Chief Becomes the First Indian Recipient of Honorary CISI Fellowship

Mr. P. H. Ravikumar, Managing Director, Money Matters Financial Services Ltd., a leading non-banking finance company, has been awarded with Honorary Fellowship of The Chartered Institute for Securities & Investment (CISI).

Mr Ravikumar is the first Indian to receive a CISI Honorary Fellowship and the award was presented at the Institute of Chartered Secretaries of India (ICSI) – CISI continuing professional development event on “Integrity Matters” in Mumbai.

Honorary Fellowship, which carries the designatory letters FCSI (Hon), is awarded by the Institute Board to those who have contributed with distinction to financial services and to the CISI. The Institute now has 51 Honorary Fellows out of a total membership of over 40,000 worldwide including the late Lord George of St Tudy, former Governor of the Bank of England, Sir Hector Sants, former CEO of the FSA, Angela Knight CBE and formerly CEO of the British Banker’s Association, Xavier Rolet, Chief Executive of the London Stock Exchange and HE Abdullah Al-Turifi, Chief Executive of the UAE Securities and Commodities Authority (SCA).

Simon Culhane, Chartered FCSI and CISI CEO said: “We are delighted to award our highest accolade to Mr Ravikumar as a valued CISI supporter and to welcome him to our elite group of ambassadors.”

Of his appointment, Mr Ravikumar said: “At the outset I am overwhelmed by the gesture of the CISI Board to nominate me as part of a small group of professionals as Honorary Fellows of the Institute. My sincere thanks to the Board of the Institute for this gesture. I am honoured and humbly accept this nomination. I am happy to be associated with the Institute in all its endeavours in seeking to promote knowledge and integrity in financial services – needed somewhat in a higher degree in the current context of events.”

For more information, visit www.money-matters.in